Cycles of Data Centrality

Posted: May 1st, 2009 | Author: Manuel Lima | Filed under: Uncategorized |

I finally got some time to write on the idea of Cycles of Data Centrality - something I’ve been thinking and discussing with people lately. It tries to make the case that “even though individual technological components evolve in a really fast and unique pace, the way in which they interrelate and behave might follow some level of cyclical occurrence”.

Predictions always feel like empty promises and there can be no certainty on what the future holds. Is the Netbook a predecessor of a future class of dumb terminals entirely dependent on the Cloud? Is Cloud Computing really going to be the next big thing? If so, how long will it last? Will it prove to be a long lasting shift or will people grow increasingly wary of their privacy and lack of ownership and return to a similar model as we have today, and in the process instigate a fourth cycle?

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One Comment on “Cycles of Data Centrality”

  1. 1 Sean McDonald said at 7:02 pm on May 1st, 2009:


    Great post. Very well written.

    Where in this mix do you put distributed computing? It’s not just projects like SETI@home, but work being done at Clemson and other research institutions that rely on a elastic use of computational resources. Also, projects like Amazon’s Human Turk, which you could argue is also a hybrid of distributed computing and distributed workforces.

    In addition, there are some major players in the corporate world that have no intention of switching from mainframe models anytime in the foreseeable future. The Consortium for Enterprise Systems Management here in the Carolinas (US) is a group of large, multi-billion dollar corporations, academic partners and industry partners that is focusing on creating a pipeline of talented mainframe engineers by reaching out to high school and college students. They are more apt to try to create an ecosystem of engineers than switch models. Their enterprises will be on the mainframe model for a long time to come.

    I would suggest that there are many alternate models to what you’ve enumerated here and that the fourth wave will be one of simultaneity of all of those models. Your first, second and third waves will all inter-operate and we will live in a dynamic / parallel computing resources models. It is most likely that we will get much better at choosing the right technology for any particular situation and that we will strengthen the bridges across these models of computational resources.

    It will be a tremendously complex network to deal with…


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